L-318 Data Analysis
Best Ball Draft Valuation & Stack Analysis
A Best Ball draft-analysis tool designed to review two distinct parts of roster construction: the value captured at each draft pick relative to player ADP, and the quality of Week 17 game correlations within the final roster. Together, the calculations provide a repeatable framework for comparing completed drafts, reviewing draft process, and identifying strengths or tradeoffs in portfolio construction.
Draft Value Score
Calculates the cumulative value gained or lost across a completed roster by comparing each player’s ADP with the pick used to select that player. The score uses a logarithmic transformation so draft value is measured proportionally rather than treating every pick difference as equal.
Formula
For each drafted player, the calculation compares log(ADP + 10) against log(Pick + 10), then sums the results and multiplies by 100 for readability. Drafting a player after their ADP contributes positive value; drafting before ADP reduces the score.
Why the offset matters
Adding 10 inside each logarithm prevents an undefined log(0) calculation and stabilizes the score for early-round selections, where small pick differences should not overwhelm the full-draft evaluation.
Week 17 Stack Value
Measures game-correlation strength by assigning position weights to players included in Week 17 game stacks. Higher scores indicate more or stronger stack combinations designed to increase access to the ceiling outcomes that matter in Best Ball playoff weeks.
Position weights
The stack calculation currently applies weights of 2.0 for quarterbacks, 1.5 for wide receivers, 1.2 for running backs, and 1.3 for tight ends. These weights reflect the differing roles each position can play in creating a correlated game environment.
Score guide
A score of 0 indicates no game stacks; 1–3.5 represents a weak or low-impact stack; 4–6 indicates one solid stack; 6.5–9 reflects strong stacking; and 9.5 or higher represents multiple strong stacks.
Draft review
The tool is used as a review framework, not a standalone ranking system. A strong draft can sacrifice some ADP value for roster uniqueness, structural requirements, player conviction, or a higher-quality Week 17 correlation profile.